Lilly’s Job Cuts Not Enough for Wall Street; Another Merger Suggested; CEO Lechleiter Eats a Steak

On September 16, 2009

Discounted Vegas? Not at $40,000 a Night

Despite several reports that Las Vegas is reduced to economic rubble (and people must scrounge for cans to survive, if you believe the photo in the Los Angeles Times anyway) another report came through how several hotels still have a luxury suite awaiting someone's arrival. At Palms Las Vegas, it's the 10,000-square-foot Hugh Hefner Sky Villa that rents for $40,000 a night. At the Bellagio, it's the Chairman Suite for $6,000 a night. Other hotels, like the Wynn Las Vegas, also sport four-figure rooms. So, are these the same hotels that are also offering two-for-one nights and spa credits? Apparently, yes. According to reports, hotels must now make deals to compete for conventions, meetings or just regular people to fill the...


On September 16, 2009

WPP Chief Sorrell Agrees That Enfatico “Went Wrong”

WPP chief Martin Sorrell agreed in an interview with Forbes India that his Enfatico experiment went wrong. Although Sorrell doesn't explicitly say that Enfatico is dead as a concept -- in fact he suggests the standalone agency model will only become more relevant in the future -- the way he answers the interviewer's questions suggests that he no longer regards Dell's custom built one-client shop as an agency, but simply as a large piece of Y&R.


On September 16, 2009

Spillover Effect: Another Pre-Salt Discovery in Brazil

The latest oil and gas discovery offshore Brazil has made the country's deepwater pre-salt region known as the Santos Basin virtually impossible to ignore. And with every discovery, an economic ripple makes its way through the oil and gas industry and of course, the Brazilian government. Brazil's state-owned energy company Petrobras, along with its partners Repsol YPF and BG Group announced Tuesday another oil and gas find in the Abare Oeste (or West) well in the Santos Basin. The Abare discovery is located within block BM-S-9, which is worth noting because its home to several other large finds. Abare is the fourth well drilled in the BM-S-9 block. Oil and gas has been found in the other three wells, Guara, Carioca and Iguacu. The same...


On September 16, 2009

Lehman’s Three Big Mistakes

The collapse of Lehman Brothers one year ago this week has us asking ourselves what principles of financial intelligence we can learn from Lehman's failure. The financial crisis that engulfed Wall Street and the economy in general, after all, provides a good backdrop for some important lessons.

1. Too much leverage
The basic concept of financial leverage is taking the proceeds of a loan and investing that money to receive a higher rate of return. The difference in the rates (the interest rate of the loan and interest rate earned on the investment) is called the spread.

Businesses, such as banks, borrow money from others through deposits or loans and pay a fixed interest rate on the debt. Then they take that borrowed money and invest it, expecting, of course, to get a higher return. At a traditional bank, deposits are paid 1-2 percent interest rates and the money is then loaned out at 5-20 percent interest rates. It's easy to see how commercial banks make money — they will be profitable as long as there is a nice spread.

Lehman Brothers was overleveraged. They borrowed money in order to invest in mortgage-backed securities (MBS) (as well as a variety of other investments). In the case of the MBSs, when it was revealed that the assets used as collateral for those mortgage-backed securities were worth a lot less than they thought, the MBSs became worthless and Lehman Brothers' spread went from positive to negative. In balance sheet terms, they started with a balance sheet in which they owned more than they owed. They ended up with a balance sheet in which they owed more than they owned. That's never good, and Lehman Brothers went bankrupt.

2. Risky debt-to-equity ratios
Debt-to-equity ratios tell you how much debt a company has for every dollar of equity. The calculation is easy: divide total liabilities by shareholders' equity (both found on the balance sheet). In the case of commercial banks, the FDIC likes to see a debt-to-equity ratio of about 10 to 1, meaning for every dollar of equity, the bank has $10 of debt. With that level of debt to equity, a bank can weather the storm of a loss due to bad loans or a shrinking interest spread.

Investment banks, however, are not regulated by the FDIC. Their debt-to-equity ratios tend to be much higher. Lehman Brothers, for example, had, at various times, debt-to-equity ratios of 30-60 to 1. If a firm is running at $60 of debt for every $1 of equity, their cushion is dangerously small. Any drop in the value of the assets underlying their investments, or in their spread, pushes the firm to bankruptcy. This was the case for Lehman.

3. Upside-only compensation schemes
Another factor that spelled disaster for Lehman Brothers was the bonus system that compensated people for generating stellar returns. In general, the investment banks set up plans that paid a bonus when the firm performs well. But when the firm did poorly, employees weren't asked to give any money back. The plan rewarded risk taking for high returns but did not punish for low returns or losses. There was no personal downside to taking risk.

Our two cents on the bigger picture
Taken together, the bias to use high levels of financial leverage to increase returns, combined with risky debt-to-equity ratios and upside-only bonuses, was a recipe for disaster. In hindsight, it's easy to see how this happened. The Wall Street banks were designed in multiple ways to take risk. Somehow, the system needs to match the risk with the potential rewards.



On September 16, 2009

Apps.Gov to Bring Cloud Efficiencies to Federal Agencies

The federal government has launched Apps.Gov, an online app store for federal agencies and workers, in the hope of reducing the $75 billion a year it spends on IT. Chief Information Officer Vivek Kundra introduced the site Tuesday. The goal is for the federal government to leverage the efficiencies that cloud computing can deliver, Kundra said.


On September 16, 2009

It Pays to Negotiate Your Salary | BTalk Australia

[podcast] With the economy the way it is, is now a good time to negotiate for a pay rise? Kelly Magowan says you owe it to yourself. Nothing saps motivation more than being paid less than you think you deserve. So how do you negotiate a salary increase?
On September 16, 2009

Frank Sinatra’s Kids Force His Corpse to Advertise Hotels, Wine and Casinos

The estate of Frank Sinatra has licensed the late singer's image and properties for a series of products, including the Dorchester Hotel chain and a Napa Valley wine. The ads are undignified and suggest that Sinatra's three children -- Frank Jr., Nancy and Tina -- somehow can't live off the royalties still streaming from Sinatra's records, movies, TV shows, books and DVDs.


On September 16, 2009

Boring Meeting? Doodle Your Way to Better Concentration

Doodling gets a bad rap. Face it, how many times have you secretly sneered at a colleague decorating a notebook with spirals and silly faces? But it turns out they have the last laugh, because doodling can actually improve your attention and focus.